north east climate change adaptation

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  sustaine   Royal Haskoning   UK Climate Impacts Programme  
 
 

 

 

earwig results - Average seasonal Rainfall

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Average Seasonal Rainfall

Rainfall can clearly be expected to become increasingly seasonal, with greater winter rainfall and a reduction in summer rainfall.  The summer decrease will be greater than the winter increase, with the remaining two seasons also showing slight decreases. 

The expected winter increases are approximately double the size in the uplands and the lowlands compared to the coastal areas of the region.  The summer deceases seem to be similar across the region when viewed in terms of millimetres per month reduction, but this equates to differing percentage changes due to varying baseline values.

 

 

Spring Average Rainfall (mm/year)
Location
Baseline
2050s
Change (%)
1
63 67 +5.8
2
55 55 0.0
3
62 64 +3.2
4
77 74 -3.5
5
56 55 -2.1
6
54 50 -7.6
7
108 106 -1.6
8
53 56 +6.5
9
57 56 -2.4
9
57 56 -2.4
10
50 48 -3.6
 
   
 
Summer Average Rainfall (mm/year)  
Location
Baseline
2050s
Change
1
75 51 -31.8
2
61 45 -25.5
3
67 50 -24.6
4
86 65 -24.8
5
61 44 -27.9
6
63 39 -37.4
7
97 69 -28.5
8
59 40 -32.3
9
61 43 -28.8
9
61 43 -28.8
10
62 42 -33.2
 
   
 
Autumn Average Rainfall (mm/year)  
Location
Baseline
2050s
Change
1
81 81 -0.6
2
73 68 -7.2
3
78 75 -3.2
4
101 100 -0.8
5
65 60 -7.2
6
66 59 -9.9
7
142 139 -2.4
8
68 63 -8.5
9
67 61 -8.5
9
67 61 -8.5
10
64 59 -7.1
 
   
   
Winter Average Rainfall (mm/year)  
Location
Baseline
2050s
Change
1
78 85 +8.7
2
68 82 +20.6
3
70 83 +19.4
4
101 114 +13.7
5
60 66 +11.3
6
55 66 +20.8
7
161 174 +7.6
8
59 70 +18.5
9
61 74 +19.8
9
61 74 +19.8
10
56 63 +12.7