north east climate change adaptation

... it matters to all ...
 
  sustaine   Royal Haskoning   UK Climate Impacts Programme  
 
 

 

 

earwig results - SEASONal Average WIND

Click to enlarge map
Predictions from climate models of changes in wind speed, whether looking at average speeds or extreme speeds, are less reliable than predictions of changes in temperature or precipitation. This is not to say that the predictions are wrong, just that there is greater uncertainty in the predictions of changes in winds. The climate model predictions of changes in temperature have the least uncertainty, and the predictions of changes in precipitation are the next least uncertain.
 

 
Spring Average Wind (m/s)
Location
Baseline
2050s
Change
1
5.6
5.5
-0.1
2
5.6
5.5
-0.1
3
5.6
5.6
0.0
4
5.4
5.3
-0.1
5
5.5
5.4
-0.1
6
5.5
5.4
-0.1
7
5.7
5.6
-0.1
8
5.4
5.4
-0.1
9
5.3
5.2
-0.1
9
5.3
5.2
-0.1
10
5.6
5.5
0.0
 
   

 
Summer Average Wind  
Location
Baseline
2050s
Change
1
4.6
4.4
-0.2
2
4.6
4.5
-0.1
3
4.5
4.5
-0.1
4
4.4
4.3
-0.2
5
4.5
4.3
-0.2
6
4.6
4.4
-0.2
7
4.7
4.5
-0.2
8
4.5
4.3
-0.2
9
4.4
4.2
-0.2
9
4.4
4.2
-0.2
10
4.6
4.5
-0.2
 
   
 
Autumn Average Wind  
Location
Baseline
2050s
Change
1
5.4
5.4
0.0
2
5.5
5.4
-0.1
3
5.5
5.5
0.0
4
5.3
5.2
0.0
5
5.3
5.3
0.0
6
5.3
5.4
+0.0
7
5.3
5.1
-0.1
8
5.3
5.2
-0.1
9
5.1
5.0
-0.1
9
5.1
5.0
-0.1
10
5.5
5.4
0.0
 
   
   
Winter Average Wind  
Location
Baseline
2050s
Change
1
6.0
6.0
0.0
2
6.1
6.2
+0.1
3
6.2
6.2
0.0
4
5.8
5.7
0.0
5
6.0
6.0
0.0
6
6.1
6.1
0.0
7
5.9
6.0
0.0
8
6.0
5.9
0.0
9
5.8
5.9
+0.1
9
5.8
5.9
+0.1
10
6.3
6.2
-0.1
 

 

 
top